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USD to INR Forecast 2025: Dollar vs Rupee Predictions, RBI Policy and Global Outlook

An illustration of two large Rupee symbols on orange and teal squares, surrounded by a dollar sign, an upward-trending orange arrow, a green banknote, and decorative chart-like elements, on a white background.

Mumbai, August 22, 2025 – Currency markets are set for a volatile year ahead. The USD to INR forecast 2025 will be shaped by U.S. Fed policy, RBI interventions, and global trade flows.

Current Exchange Rate

  • 1 USD = ₹82.5 (August 2025)

  • Stable compared to 2024 due to RBI interventions.


Predictions for 2025

  1. JP Morgan: ₹85 per USD by Q4 2025

  2. Goldman Sachs: Range ₹82–₹86 in 2025

  3. ICICI Securities: Expect stable Rupee with 2% depreciation.


Key Factors

  • U.S. Interest Rates – Fed policy decisions remain the biggest driver.

  • Oil Prices – India’s import bill directly impacts Rupee strength.

  • RBI Policy – Active market interventions to maintain stability.

  • FDI Inflows – India’s booming economy supports currency demand.


Risks

  • Geopolitical tensions impacting global capital flows.

  • Higher U.S. Treasury yields strengthening the Dollar.


Conclusion

The USD to INR forecast 2025 suggests a relatively stable but slightly weaker Rupee. For traders and businesses, hedging strategies remain crucial in managing currency risks.

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